A tropical disturbance in the central Gulf of Mexico is forecast to become a tropical depression or storm either later today or on Sunday. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft in in the system this afternoon trying to determine the systems present strength and approximate center. If the system becomes a Tropical Storm the name would be Debby.
Forecast models are all over the place concerning where the developing system is expected to go over the next couple of days. The consensus of the models is for the system to drift to the northwest for the next day or so and then begin a more westerly drift. There is one outlier model which brings the system eastward approaching Florida on Tuesday afternoon. Given that the majority of the models predict a westward track to Texas, that should be viewed as the most probable path, but this is a low-confidence forecast.