…RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE NORTHWARD TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.

AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH. A WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

REPORTS FOR AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…1 TO 3 FT.

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.