As of 11 AM the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located at 13.7N 62.3W or about 90 miles west of St. Lucia. Maximum sustained winds are at 50 mph and the storm continues to push west at 21 mph. While there is some spread in the model data, the general consensus is for Ernesto to maintain a westerly or west-northwesterly motion for the next few days at it is being steered by a subtropical ridge to its north. Early next week the models forecast a weakness to develop in the high which would allow Ernesto the chance to turn more northwesterly as it approaches the Yucatan channel. As the storm moves through the Central Caribbean a couple of the models intensify Ernesto into a category 1 hurricane and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has reflected that in their official forecast. One must remember that the margin of error beyond three day is significant and one is wise to pay more attention to the forecast cone and not focus the center track.
Timing is likely to change as time goes on, but the official NHC forecast shows the center of Ernesto just off the Yucatan peninsula on Wednesday morning. It is simply too early to know whether or not Ernesto will be an issue for Florida. Stay informed with the latest updates which are released by the National Hurricane Center around 5 AM/PM and 11 AM/PM. The NHC also issues intermediate advisories at 2 AM/PM and 8 AM/PM when a tropical storm or hurricane warning is up for any land areas in the storms path. For the latest information on Ernesto on-demand at your convenience, just click on the link at the top of our home page.
Now is the perfect time to make sure you are prepared for a hurricane. If you haven’t already, assemble a hurricane supply kit. Click here for suggestions of what to put in your kit.
Z88.3 will stay on top of this developing situation with frequent on-air updates. Our promise is Weather Warnings FIRST…to help you keep your family safe!